Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2025: What Will Rivian Stock Be Worth in 2025?

When it comes to Rivian Automotive stock (NASDAQ:RIVN), the dust seems to be settling. So far in 2023, RIVN stock price has moved up just 3%. The Rivian stock forecast has always been a concern to the marketers and investors. In this article, we’ll focus on the Rivian stock price prediction 2025.

 

In the eyes of investors, the worst case appear to have been priced in. As you may recall, Rivian stock price collapsed during 2022, as investors reacted to high inflation, rising interest rates and slowing economic growth.

 

So, with the potential easing of these issues and the fact that the EV megatrend may start to re-accelerate, does this mean that a big recovery is in sight for RIVN stock? Not so fast.

 

Even though this early EV maker is likely to continue ramping up production, it may not be enough to spark a partial rebound in the next two years. Much less, a full recovery to past highs.

 

Current Status of Rivian Stock

After a successful IPO in 2021, Rivian targetted a production of 15000 vehicles by the end of 2022. However, the company fell short of this target and was able to produce only 24,337 vehicles by December 2022. The company still has more than $13 billion in its cash reserves.

 

Over the past few months, most headlines related to RIVN have been negative. That said, the market is well aware of Rivian Automotive’s myriad of headwinds, and has repriced it accordingly. Rivian stock price today is $19.02, nearly 89% below its all-time high closing price of $172.01. Chances are, shares are not at risk of experiencing another decline of similar magnitude.

 

Despite missing its already-walked back production target for 2022, with the company now producing about 10,000 vehicles per quarter, full-year production figures for this year are likely to come in ahead of last year’s numbers. With around $13.2 billion in cash on hand, this early-stage EV company has sufficient cash to cover short-term losses.

 

These factors could keep RIVN stock steady this year. Or, perhaps help it move slightly higher, as investors warm back up to risk-on plays. Yet while Rivian stock could perform much better in 2023 than it did in 2022, that doesn’t mean what’s transpiring is the start of an epic comeback.

 

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Fierce Competitions Cloud RIVN Stock’s Future Prospects

Rivian Automotive may be moving ahead with increased production. Given the automaker’s high reservation backlog, it likely has sufficient demand to turn this year’s expected increased production into sales.

 

Then again, maybe not. EV adoption is expected to take a breather over the next 12 months, largely due to the current economic challenges. Many reservation holders could cancel. Even looking to the near term, 2024 and 2025, the company’s prospect is cloudy.

 

Besides the boost provided by the EV bubble, the reason why Rivian stock commanded such a high valuation right after its 2021 debt was due to the presumption that it would ultimately produce hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of vehicles per year.

 

However, even as this market is expanding, rising competition could limit future growth, and here we not just talking about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). The yet-to-be released Cybertruck could theoretically leave Rivian Automotive’s flagship R1T electric pickup in the dust, but a bigger competitive threat may be the electric truck offerings from incumbent automakers such as Ford (NYSE:F). Ford reportedly sold more electric trucks than Rivian during December 2022.

 

Rivian Stock Price Prediction 2025

Although the company is slated to continue its rapid growth, long-term prediction still call for negative earnings in 2023, 2024, and 2025. Given the increased competition, it may be difficult to beat current sales growth expectations over the next two years.

 

Even if the company merely meets expectations between now and 2025, Rivian Automotive stock may stay stuck at prices at or around current levels. If sales growth stagnates, results could fall short of expectations. RIVN’s losses could narrow much more slowly than currently expected.

 

If this happens, and cash burn remains high, this EV maker may have to raise more capital on dilutive terms. In turn, pushing the RIVN stock price lower between now and 2025.

 

With Rivian’s latest production capacity, this year the EV maker may produce slightly more vehicles than last year. According to our analysis, RIVN stock is not an attractive comeback play at its current prices.

 

With more out there suggesting middling or negative performance in the coming years, we expect Rivian stock to trade sideways till 2025 without any significant price increase.

 

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